Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.179862 0.205626 0.234409 0.269063 0.309802 0.356358 0.413847
2025-12-07 0.137145 0.170453 0.211477 0.266219 0.338099 0.430309 0.559240
2025-12-14 0.114006 0.150422 0.198559 0.267890 0.366930 0.506019 0.721041
2025-12-21 0.097916 0.135337 0.187622 0.267675 0.390170 0.575689 0.888227
2025-12-28 0.087892 0.126408 0.182863 0.274058 0.422423 0.663072 1.102195
2026-01-04 0.079442 0.118218 0.177448 0.277720 0.449984 0.747262 1.331212
2026-01-11 0.072635 0.111415 0.172884 0.281466 0.477575 0.836150 1.591674
2026-01-18 0.067663 0.106757 0.170904 0.288869 0.512386 0.944715 1.921198
2026-01-25 0.062384 0.100882 0.166001 0.290101 0.535582 1.035322 2.239151
2026-02-01 0.057638 0.095319 0.160849 0.289914 0.555671 1.123478 2.578588
2026-02-08 0.053129 0.089649 0.154775 0.286951 0.569348 1.200487 2.915444
2026-02-15 0.049069 0.084346 0.148726 0.283084 0.580264 1.273423 3.266257
2026-02-22 0.046753 0.082053 0.148177 0.290620 0.618463 1.422027 3.891441
2026-03-01 0.043273 0.077244 0.142256 0.286018 0.628052 1.502220 4.346585
2026-03-08 0.040816 0.074146 0.139361 0.287575 0.652734 1.628548 5.006241
2026-03-15 0.038425 0.070941 0.135883 0.287296 0.672809 1.747674 5.697668
2026-03-22 0.036916 0.069343 0.135548 0.294218 0.712937 1.936230 6.743260
2026-03-29 0.035276 0.067316 0.134072 0.298193 0.746024 2.113413 7.844204
2026-04-05 0.033775 0.065441 0.132715 0.302262 0.780305 2.305201 9.124851
2026-04-12 0.032683 0.064324 0.132917 0.310304 0.827950 2.557654 10.855620
2026-04-19 0.031195 0.062224 0.130663 0.311643 0.855830 2.750137 12.427775
2026-04-26 0.029721 0.060028 0.127969 0.311440 0.879015 2.933695 14.093862
2026-05-03 0.028171 0.057540 0.124348 0.308220 0.891970 3.082880 15.684963